Otto Analytics
Frontier Infrastructure · Conviction Research
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July 1, 2026
Investment Memorandum · Preview
SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.
AI-assisted. Human editorial review is required before publication.
Thesis

SpaceX is the most vertically integrated space platform ever brought public: the dominant global launch provider, the largest satellite-broadband network in orbit, and a national-security franchise the government cannot replace. The business quality is not the question. The price is. At 107 times trailing sales, deep cash burn, a nineteen-day trading history, and a lockup supply flood ahead, one thing decides the call: what you pay to own it.

The rest of the note answers the price question.
The full report carries the conviction call, the eight-part analytical debate, the key metrics, and the position sizing. It is the work behind where we came down and why. Available to members.
Read the full note